Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.034689 0.040421 0.046728 0.054175 0.062715 0.072192 0.083495
2025-08-24 0.026311 0.033826 0.042859 0.054477 0.068976 0.086426 0.108965
2025-08-31 0.020074 0.028156 0.038655 0.053200 0.072720 0.097887 0.132649
2025-09-07 0.016948 0.025651 0.037747 0.055613 0.081120 0.115971 0.166884
2025-09-14 0.013964 0.022667 0.035532 0.055667 0.086054 0.129775 0.196888
2025-09-21 0.011349 0.019667 0.032686 0.054183 0.088314 0.139779 0.222386
2025-09-28 0.009518 0.017520 0.030721 0.053606 0.091647 0.151476 0.251416
2025-10-05 0.008703 0.016899 0.031060 0.056679 0.100999 0.173288 0.298249
2025-10-12 0.007851 0.016043 0.030835 0.058698 0.108743 0.193196 0.343918
2025-10-19 0.006642 0.014297 0.028750 0.057104 0.109984 0.202300 0.372354
2025-10-26 0.005772 0.013049 0.027376 0.056570 0.112948 0.214504 0.407101
2025-11-02 0.004914 0.011664 0.025519 0.054826 0.113394 0.222168 0.434376
2025-11-09 0.004209 0.010496 0.023948 0.053489 0.114567 0.231487 0.466032
2025-11-16 0.003726 0.009735 0.023108 0.053521 0.118428 0.246211 0.509236
2025-11-23 0.003204 0.008780 0.021696 0.052134 0.119210 0.255039 0.541937
2025-11-30 0.003006 0.008583 0.021954 0.054434 0.127981 0.280508 0.609759
2025-12-07 0.002686 0.008012 0.021251 0.054453 0.131805 0.296266 0.659398
2025-12-14 0.002326 0.007259 0.019989 0.052982 0.132124 0.304718 0.694679
2025-12-21 0.002060 0.006712 0.019152 0.052409 0.134399 0.317503 0.740190
2025-12-28 0.001988 0.006713 0.019727 0.055414 0.145395 0.350284 0.831606
2026-01-04 0.001875 0.006568 0.019890 0.057388 0.154125 0.378785 0.915989
2026-01-11 0.001637 0.005985 0.018763 0.055827 0.153985 0.387138 0.956022
2026-01-18 0.001465 0.005576 0.018060 0.055302 0.156379 0.401543 1.011032